At the top of the Championship leaderboard with a dominating 11-point lead, defending champions Australia remain the team to beat heading into the final installment of Season 3. Peter Burling’s New Zealand meanwhile currently sits in second place with a comfortable four-point lead ahead of France in third. Ahead of the Grand Final, we dig into the data and compare the teams’ performances to see which one has the edge heading into the San Francisco shootout.

With such a dominating points lead, Australia is the only team guaranteed a spot in the three-boat, winner-takes-all Grand Final regardless of how the team places throughout fleet racing. New Zealand doesn’t have the same security however, and could fall out of the top three. But for this to happen, Emirates Great Britain SailGP Team would need to win fleet racing, France would need to finish second and the Kiwis in sixth.

Data provided by the F50 fleet compares the performances of both teams throughout the 10 events of Season 3 so far across light, medium and strong wind conditions.

In overall fleet racing, taking into account all conditions, New Zealand performs marginally better, with an average fleet rank of 3.9, in comparison to Australia’s 4.1.

Season 3 // Great Britain Sail Grand Prix // Burling and Slingsby in Mixed Zone

It’s the same story in the three-boat Final format, where the Kiwis report an average leg rank of 1.4, in comparison to the Aussies’ rank of 2.

New Zealand also ranks higher, albeit marginally, in all light (under 11km/h), medium (11-15 km/h) and strong (15 km/h+) wind conditions in fleet racing.

In light winds, the Kiwis have an average leg rank of 5 in comparison to the Aussies’ 5.2, while in medium winds the Aussie’s average leg rank of 3.8 is only just outstripped by the Kiwis’ 3.6.

In strong winds meanwhile, the Kiwis have an average leg rank of 3.3, lower again than the Aussies’ 4.1. It’s worth emphasizing however that these figures are taking from fleet racing only, meaning there are nine F50s racing on the course, not just Australia and New Zealand.

Despite these figures, the Aussies have an average event finishing position of 2.6 throughout Season 3 - better than the Kiwis’ 3.3.

Season 3 // Dubai Sail Grand Prix // Australia and New Zealand match racing

The Aussies also report more consistent results than the Kiwis, with their worst result of Season 3 being one 5th place finish in Saint-Tropez. The Kiwis meanwhile have finished 6th three times - in Bermuda, Cadiz and Sydney.

The main takeaways from comparing the two teams’ results is that Australia started the season stronger - banking two event wins in both Bermuda and Chicago. New Zealand started weaker but has delivered strong events post-Chicago. Since Saint-Tropez, both teams have been evenly matched.

Season 3 // New Zealand SailGP Team // Burling eyes Slingsby in press conference

When it comes to results, the Aussies have the advantage, picking up a total of eight podium positions throughout the season in comparison to the Kiwis’ five. But when it comes to wins, the teams are tied on three apiece. This means that while Australia has had more Final appearances (7) than New Zealand, it’s the Kiwis who perform better in the three-boat Final format, picking up three wins from five. The Aussies meanwhile have picked up three wins from seven.

Powered by Oracle, SailGP Insights is an online dashboard which provides fans with huge amounts of data from our cutting-edge racing F50 catamarans.